AAS Economics provides a range of research services to wholesale and institutional clients. This range includes a variety of regular reports as well as bespoke modelling of particular economies, markets or groups of markets. The principal periodic reports delivered by AAS Economics are described below. Please contact us for more information regarding these reports or to learn more about our customised research and model-building services.
PMI Analyst
The Purchasing Management Index is one of the most closely watched of world indicators. We apply our forecasting framework to predict the trajectories of several of the world's most important PMIs. 
Business Cycle Asset Allocation
Business Cycle Asset Allocation takes our unique monetary approach to economic analysis and uses it to guide asset allocation. This is done through predicting the business cycle and prospectively changing portfolio allocations based on the forecast stage of the cycle. This process is entirely systematic.
Global Tactical Equities
This comprehensive report applies our proprietary model of the liquidity cycle to notional portfolios covering the equities markets of numerous economies. Capital is notionally shifted across different sectors according the stage of the business cycle, driven by our unique monetary framework.
Forex Forecast
Each month we calculate differences in "liquidity" between countries and used lagged values of this variable to predict the momentum of exchange rates. This is a unique calculation and is based on the difference between the growth rate of the supply of money and that of the demand for money in each country.
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EcoFlash
EcoFlash is our daily analysis and forecasting publication where we apply our monetary and econometric expertise in predicting likely trends in world economies and markets. Markets covered range from developed to emerging economies and forecast variables include GDP, industrial production, inflation, bond yields and stock indices. Please see the example below and feel free to contact us for more information.
Weekly Macro
Each week we publish the notes of our Monday morning meeting. This meeting is generally thematic in nature and frequently discusses issued raised with us by clients. Clients find it a helpful blend of theory and forecast.
Money Supply & Macro
Each month AAS Economics applies its unique monetary, credit and liquidity analysis to discuss and forecast economic and market trends in a core group of countries. This group includes The US, Eurozone, China, Japan, Australia and Canada. In addition, where standout themes emerge from the analysis other, more specialised situations are presented along with their implications. This publication is an ideal macroeconomic scene-setter for asset allocators and investment managers and facilitates big picture views with specific econometric forecasts for key countries in relation to:
Other variables modelled include specific commodity prices (e.g. crude oil, iron ore, gold) and exchange rates. Contact us for more information or see the sample below.
Weekly Central Bank Monitor
Central banks are key drivers in the creation and destruction of money and, with this, of the economic cycle. Each week we track the activities of major central banks so as to anticipate changes in key monetary metrics.
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